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 Druid Number Abuse - May 04

Count Down - we hear many numbers bandied about in the media, from the amount of asylum seekers and refugees about to "flood" Europe, to the number of deaths from heart disease in a given population, or the percentage of sugar and salt in processed foods, or the cost of space exploration. Most of these numbers are not questioned and, if repeated often enough, become "common knowledge" and are then used as the basis for all sorts of opinions and decisions, some extreme and far-reaching. How can these statistics be checked, how do we know what context in which to place them, how true are they? The ancient crack about lies, damned lies, and statistics, like all cliches has a strong element of truth. John Brignell's Number Watch site aims to do something about this. His mission statement is uncompromising and angry. "This site is devoted to the monitoring of the misleading numbers that rain down on us via the media. Whether they are generated by Single Issue Fanatics (SIFs), politicians, bureaucrats, quasi-scientists (junk, pseudo- or just bad), such numbers swamp the media, generating unnecessary alarm and panic. They are seized upon by media, hungry for eye-catching stories. There is a growing band of people whose livelihoods depend on creating and maintaining panic. There are also some who are trying to keep numbers away from your notice and others who hope that you will not make comparisons. Their stock in trade is the gratuitous lie. The aim here is to nail just a few of them." A general aim with which 80 heartily agrees.


Count Company - there is another old cliche that says you can tell something about a person from the company they keep. With a website the links page, if one exists, can be very revealing. (This ploy is  useful for Quack websites in particular) It is even more informative if these links are categorized, as Brignell's are. He has Good Guys, Bad Guys, Weird Guys and the inevitable miscellaneous. In the first group are names familiar and unfamiliar, from James Randi to the Flummery Digest. The Bad Guys include a UK government statistics site and Greenpeace. The Weird Guys include Kevin Warwick (Capt. Cyborg, more about him another time) and Uri Geller (Capt. Cutlery, of whom far too much is known already, in 80's view.) Even without dealing directly with each one on this list an impression of Brignell's stance is fairly clear, whether based upon numbers or some other criteria. He is obviously unconvinced of the reality of Global Climate Change (he terms it Global Warming, which is inaccurate) He is also a defender of smoker's rights, describing a British anti-smoking site, ASH, as the "epitome of zealotry". He has little time for groups such as The Union of Concerned Scientists, describing it as "Not exactly detached", or Friends of the Earth, and and questions whether the UK Climatic Research Unit, at the University of East Anglia, is "proper science or propaganda".


Partial Count - Brignell gives the impression of a man angry at what he perceives to be a misuse, often a wilful misuse, of numbers to promote government, environmental and health scare propaganda. In this he performs a valuable service, but just as any other commentator it is not the pure numbers that tell the story - it is how they are selected and presented, and on this score Brignell is as culpable as some of the targets of his wrath. In introducing his Good Guys he makes the point that "Inclusion is based on the treatment of numbers and is not an endorsement of any political views expressed." This kind of dispassionate selection is a fine ideal, but 80 was left with a definite impression of a right-wing tendency, disclaimer or not. Your opinion may differ. Brignell's pages are a mine of information, but selective information, for with the sheer amount of data available no other course is practical. When using his pages it is well to remember that a lot of what you are reading reflects his beliefs and prejudices, as much as this site reflects 80's foibles. This is in no way an ad hominem attack but an observation that is pretty obvious. A recommended site - but use with care, everyone has an agenda. (Totally unrelated, bar a tenuous numerical connection, do take a look at The Numbers of The Beast)


Not the Hand of God - there are many possible sins in which to indulge, some defined by religion and some by accepted social mores. The worst ones must surely be those that involve cruelty to others , whether physical or mental. We see more than enough evidence of this kind of "sinning" all over our war-torn globe and many groups bravely opposing such wrongdoing, Amnesty, Human Rights Watch and others. But there are other sins, that while offering no actual physical harm, are considered equally abhorrent by some groups, who devote, what seems to 80, disproportionate time and resources to very petty activities. Take this bunch, in this report from Wired " "Rick," a 20-year-old Krispy Kreme employee from Washington, says he has a serious problem: He masturbates. He recently befriended several other Christian men who share his belief that masturbation is sinful, and together they've pledged not to "defile themselves" for 40 days...They encourage each other to remain steadfast by e-mail and instant messages." Now 80 may have things wrong here, but isn't this a slight overreaction, verging on the unhealthy? What is their problem, apart from what Monty Python used to call "twanging the wire"? Rick even keeps a blog of the struggle against temptation, "I'm only a few days into it, but I'm really seeing how used to it that my body really is, and how I am addicted to it. As difficult as it is, I'm contending not only for myself, but the men that are on this fast with me, to be strong, and beat this addiction. Let's do it guys! We can be holy." Rick, take your hands out of your pockets and get a life.


Severing Satan - these men have been inspired by the xxxChurch, who struggle with the porn that is rife on the internet. The aim of combatting vile stuff such as child pornography is laudable but some of the anti-masturbation rhetoric is laughable "Remain calm and tell yourself, 'You don't own me, masturbation! I'm taking my life back!' (or something of that nature). If that doesn't work, you can pursue alternatives like chewing gum, blasting John Lennon's song 'Cold Turkey,' eating chocolate or whatever helps you best (not masturbation)." (This may work for some, Cold Turkey and chocolate sounds like a heady mixture.) According to Wired "The ministry is based on Matthew 5:27-30, which condemns lust and recommends amputating body parts that cause a believer to sin, "for it is better that you lose one of your members than that your whole body go into hell."" So, if you can't break that nasty habit, is genital amputation the next stop? The "hip" style of the xxxChurch has angered more staid Christians, who accuse them of being anti-Biblical. But as this site says "Yes, it is better to masturbate, because at best it corrupts only one person. It certainly is the lesser of two evils." - the greater evil being another Christian obsession, that of fornication. But THAT is a whole other story............

During the in-depth study of self-abuse necessary to write the above paragraphs 80 found an absolute gem - a talk by none other than the great Mark Twain, entitled Some Thoughts on the Science of Onanism. (Onanism is in fact a misnomer for the solitary sin. Onan's actual sin was to practice the so-called withdrawal method of birth control. For which, of course, a just and merciful God killed him. In passing, a true story of a biblically knowledgeable acquaintance, who kept a pet canary. The bird was a messy eater, so he named him Onan, as he repeatedly "spilled his seed on the ground" Genesis 38:8-10)

Quote - "My body was not designed to masturbate. My body was designed to be used exclusively to glorify God. To use it in any other way is to rob God of something that is his by right, for there are no morally neutral actions." Taken from the Deliverance From Demons website starring the Rev. Bill McGinnis, who must be fun company. The page is accompanied by the most painful dirge, so turn your speakers down if have any musical taste whatsoever. An added attraction here is a " Deliverance From Demons First-Aid Kit "and  "A Prayer, a Binding and a Curse"on terrorists, cunningly disguised as amateurish doggerel.


Lost Worlds - if the sales and promotions of books by the likes of Graham Hancock and Robert Bauval (which, irritatingly, many bookstores put in the archaeology section) are anything to go by, cult or pseudoarchaeology must be quite a lucrative pastime. It helps if, like Hancock, you have a very readable, journalistic, writing style and are prepared to be, for want of a better word, selective, with your source materials. Needless to say websites espousing the kind of wishful-thinking that passes for research in this field abound. 80 has looked at a few before (Don't Mention Atlantis) and found the devotees of this stuff quick to anger and very defensive - the amount of correspondence received is rivalled only by another select group - the creationists. Sadly there seems to be no connection between the two - the creationists assert the Earth is only six thousand years old or so, while cult archaeologists (CA) believe there were civilizations flourishing well before that date. These early cultures were destroyed, possibly by flooding at the end of the last glaciation, but remnants of their technologies and writings were the source of the civilizations of Egypt, Mesopotamia and Central and Latin America. This idea has been around for a long while in various forms, including Erich von Daniken's version where the the founders of these lost cultures were aliens. Another "explanation" of their origin is the A word - Atlantis. In fact no explanation is necessary, as there is no credible trace of these people, except in the minds of those who either already believe they existed, or are happy making a good living from perpetuating this fantasy. On the subject of fantasy, Jason Colavito, writing at Skeptic.com, makes a convincing case in Charioteer of the Gods for the Cthulhu stories by H P Lovecraft being the inspiration for von Daniken's "theories". (Colavito's own website, Lost Civilizations Uncovered, is very much worth a visit for a critical view of CA) All of which preamble was triggered by a look at The Morien Institute web pages. The introduction here is interesting, pointing out that the spectacular impact of the Shoemaker-Levy 9 comet with Jupiter in 1994 demonstrated that life on Earth, and ancient civilization in particular, would be devastated by such impacts occurring here. Having said that, they imply that it is only "from this perspective that the true history of human civilisation will ever be fully understood." Which is surely over the top.


Druidic Dross - scrolling down the page shows the sort of things that interest The Morien Institute and which put them squarely in the world of CA. The first image/link is to a piece on some Welsh standing stones, where they manage to find celestial alignments. This is fairly unremarkable, but they don't leave it there. They postulate unsubstantiated connections with Druids, to whom the stones would have been ancient monuments, as they long predate that religion/culture. By now we are off to faerie land with references to "druidic astro-mythology" and "the druidic library extant in the ancient enchanted landscape of Wales". Despite these claims, the only proofs offered are the speculations of a Welsh poet (and not a very good one, going by the example given). The truth is we know little or nothing about Druids (the modern versions are Victorian in origin) and even that information comes from their arch-enemies, the Romans, so is liable to be somewhat biased. But Morien haven't finished yet with supposition posing as fact, talking of "Celtic bards who laid the foundation of inner wisdom that has come down to us as the Arthurian Tradition." Obviously by now they, and we, have left behind anything resembling archaeology or history at all. Finally a note of frustration or even anger is sounded at those who do not endorse this fantastical view of the past and the dreams of the poet who took the "druidic title" Morien. "But these condemnations, which continue today, are invariably made by so-called 'experts' and 'scholars' who fail miserably to grasp the very simple concept of the 'landscape as narrative', who have never even attempted to read it, and who have never experienced the rising of the new-born sun at the sacred places of the ancient Welsh druids. May their eyes be opened, before the the last vestiges of the Druidic Heritage of ancient Cymru (Wales) is lost forever amidst the rantings of those who can only condemn what they fail to understand ..." 80 can feel a druidic curse coming on...............


Schoch And/Or - some of the other links are more in well-trod CA country - one being the Robert Schoch theory that the Sphinx is far older than archaeologists think. He believes some of the rock shows weathering consistent with a much earlier, wetter climate. Schoch, a professor of geology, has yet to convince the archaeological world. Here is a good discussion of this, with Schoch's ideas not faring too well. Other explanations for the erosion he mentions are more convincing. Schoch's theory makes the Sphinx old enough to be a relic of the CA world's ancient precursor civlization, making it popular on sites such as this. Another link uses an old CA technique - that of assuming what you are trying to prove, thus "were the numerous underwater megaliths built during the last ice age?" While megalith literally means big stone it does imply an artfact. The example cited is the Yonaguni rock formation off the coast of Japan. Like the submarine features in Bimini, there is no reason to suppose that these structures are anything but natural. Schoch's name comes up here too, where he hedges his bets by saying the structures are geological, but later worked over by an ancient civilization. The formations are undeniably interesting and deserve closer study, but claiming them as ancient monuments is not justified on current knowledge. The link to a piece about the Nazca lines is comparatively unsensational. These amazing markings in the desert are definitely mysterious, but even the fact that many appear to be astronomically aligned adds nothing to The Morien Institute's case for advanced knowledge among the ancient Nazca. There are so many lines, some now sadly damaged, that it would be impossible not to array them with one or another celestial object or landscape feature. How they drew them without flight (although hot air balloons using what were considered reasonably authentic fabrics have been successfully flown, it proves nothing) would seem to imply some pretty impressive surveying skills, coupled perhaps with a technique for accurately scaling up smaller, preliminary designs, plans, to a size that stands out in the landscape. What these perfectly human and commendable skills are supposed to imply, beyond the obvious, 80 is at a loss to know. There is no doubt there were some exceptional ancient engineers, to use L Sprague de Camp's term, who serve as an inspiration even today. We humans have long been expert at using the laws of physics, even if not codified or linked beyond immediate benefit, to our own advantage, real or merely perceived. It is the scientific method that makes it all a more structured business these days - we always have been the "cleverest" of the primates - even to the point of being often too clever for our own good.


The Real Deal - The Morien Institute's site is large and well presented with plenty of information, a lot of which, even on a cursory inspection, is suspect. The habit of assuming what you want to be true is true, and then drawing together "evidence" from sites, monuments, etc. that are far removed from each other in time and space, is nothing to do with archaeology but everything to do with wish fulfilment. The theory that there was a sophisticated global civilization that perished, for whatever reason, at the end of the last ice age is unsupported by any evidence that stands up to scientific scrutiny. Building techniques, languages and mythologies show no such connections. The sky, especially in areas still relatively unpolluted by haze and lights, contains roughly 2,500 stars visible to the naked eye from any one point. If you cannot wring an alignment with an earthly feature out of that lot then you are just not trying. As was said earlier, websites that espouse the cult/pseudoarchaeology fantasies abound, but only a brave few are out there refuting this non-science nonsense. Jason Colavito's Lost Civilizations Uncovered, mentioned above, has some very good essays as does In the Hall of Maat which also features lively discussions. One of the best resources is Doug's Archaeology Site. Unlike many other real archaeology pages, Doug Weller's has a large list of links to not only the genuine thing, but also lists articles galore that comprehensively rebut all manner of CA silliness. Also worthy of note is The Antiquity of Man which has "three focus areas: Ancient Egypt (covering the Predynastic and Early Dynastic periods, up until the end of the Fourth Dynasty), hominin evolution, and exposing the vacuum of pseudoscience" and the aptly named The Wild Side of Geoarchaeology Page which deals with the age of the Sphinx, Atlantis and Lemuria and much else. If you have a friend or acquaintance who is an avid reader of Hancock and the rest, do them a favor and point them to these sites. If their mind is still open then these pages will also open their eyes, although CA seems to be sustained by faith rather than rational argument or evidence. Real archaeology about real people and real cultures is such a huge and fascinating subject it is amazing that so many people go for the cheap thrill of the tawdry pseudo version.


Miscellany - anyone living in the UK (or anywhere else for that matter) who is of a determinedly secular frame of mind should take the time to visit the National Secular Society's (NSS) pages. Here you can keep abreast of the ongoing struggle to combat religion creeping (and sometimes stomping) into schools, politics and other places where it should never be. 80 found connections from the NSS to other groups fiercely opposing the attempts of religionists to impose their superstitions on what is increasingly, and thankfully, a secular society in Britain. One such is the Humanists page where much good information is to be had, including some of great practical use - Humanist secular funerals in particular. Also found here is Humanism in Four Minutes - a transcript of a speech which explains just that, and serves as a good introduction. Recommended. Putting the case for rationalism in India is not an easy job - until recently it was even harder as the previous government, the BJP, was riddled with a nationalistic Hindu fundamentalism. In Pakistan it is still possible to be condemned to death for blasphemy, although such harsh laws are now under review. Rationalist International (RI) covers the world, but there is definite emphasis on matters in India, Pakistan and nearby countries. RI describes itself as "a forum for rationalist ideas and positions of world-wide concern. It aims at representing the rationalist view where public opinion is formed and making the voice of reason heard and considered, where decisions are taken which will shape our future." In addition to current news on the site there is a substantial and downloadable archive. Recommended.


Quotes

These first two should be required reading for those that wish to curtail hard-won civil liberties, citing the "War on Terror". That means you, George, and your pal Tony.

"Every thing secret degenerates, even the administration of justice; nothing is safe that does not show how it can bear discussion and publicity." Lord Acton

"The most certain test by which we judge whether a country is really free is the amount of security enjoyed by minorities." Lord Acton

"It has become almost a cliche to remark that nobody boasts of ignorance of literature, but it is socially acceptable to boast ignorance of science and proudly claim incompetence in mathematics." Richard Dawkins

"Faith is the great cop-out, the great excuse to evade the need to think and evaluate evidence. Faith is belief in spite of, even perhaps because of, the lack of evidence." Richard Dawkins

"We should take astrology seriously. No, I don't mean we should believe in it. I am talking about fighting it seriously instead of humouring it as a piece of harmless fun." Richard Dawkins

Dawkins was recently misquoted in a newspaper article on a recent book, namely Percy Seymour's absurd Scientific Proof of Astrology (See Recycled Rubbish), which implied that Dawkins in some way approved of this claptrap. His attitude is obvious from the above quote.

 


      

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