The View from Number 80

 

Number 80 Home Page     Links from Number 80

80's Recommended Reading

 

 Rage Bright Chariots - July 03

A Bright Idea ? a 2001 survey (PDF) has indicated there could be perhaps as many as 40 million (14%) or so non-believers, atheists, humanists and other deity-free individuals in the USA. Even if taken down to a more conservative figure of 20 million that is still a hell of a lot of people. For comparison it is 4 times as numerous as American Jews - who are generally acknowledged to be a pretty powerful lobby group. Using an analogy with the gay community there is now a movement to encourage these god-free to "come out" and announce themselves. One way of drawing attention is to have a label, a badge as it were, of some kind and make it your own - we all know how the meaning of the word "gay" has changed radically over the last 30 years. What would be a suitable term for those with no religious faith and a naturalistic world view? Paul Geisert and Mynga Futrell thought the word "bright" would do nicely - and have hopes of its adoption as a general term. Not as an adjective but as a noun as in "I am a bright". Backers of the idea feature such respected figures as Richard Dawkins and Danniel Dennett (registration req'd). It is hoped as more and more declare themselves as brights the stigma, especially in the US, of being a non-believer will disappear. 80, cynical old observer that he is, has his doubts. There is a strong social pressure to conform and again, especially in the US, it will take great strength of will to go against the majority. Unless of course this majority is not as overwhelming as it appears and has many members who themselves are conforming for purely social reasons. It is difficult to see how this will go but 80 has signed up at the Bright web site - but then a glance through these pages would show that 80 came out of the believer closet a long time ago.......

Update - the Bright idea does not find much favor with this writer.


Fat of the Land - and light Brights? It would be interesting to check on the body weight of Brights to see if these 1998 findings are accurate "The faithful are fatter than ever—at least in this country—according to Kenneth Ferraro, a sociologist at the University of Purdue. His analysis of data from two national surveys, published in the Review of Religious Research, shows that religious people tend to be more corpulent than their nonreligious counterparts. States with a high rate of religious affiliation—Mississippi, Michigan, and Indiana—have heftier citizens than such strongholds of secularity as Massachusetts, Hawaii, and Colorado. And among denominations, Southern Baptists are the real heavyweights. If Southern Baptists had an official patron saint, it might be Thomas Aquinas, whose 300-pound bulk led his fellow students to nickname him Ox." Well, praise the Lard.


Chariots of Faith - those whose faith in the inerrancy of the Christian bible as an historical text is insufficiently strong spend a lot of time and money looking for physical evidence of some kind to back it up. Those who search for the "real" Mount Sinai, the final resting place of Noah's Ark or search the desolate landscape around the Dead Sea looking for Sodom and Gomorah are chasing ghosts of things that may never even have existed - but still they try. The latest example of this is the announcement that a chariot wheel, found by divers in the Red Sea, provides evidence for the famous tale in Exodus where the sea parted to let the fleeing Israelites walk across dryshod and then poured back, inundating Pharaoh's army. The finders of this artifact (which puzzlingly does not seem to be available for study) were inspired by the exploits of Ron Wyatt, the late discoverer of the "true" resting place of the Ark. Wyatt Archaeological Research, a web site now maintained by others, has more detail on Red Sea chariot wheels, particularly the information that Wyatt retrieved a wheel hub from the Red Sea and had it dated, by Nassif Mohammed Hassan, a Cairo "director of Antiquities", to the Egyptian 18th Dynasty. Researching further and using devastating circular reasoning Wyatt decided that if this wheel, and others he claimed to have found on the seabed, were 18th Dynasty then that was the date of Exodus. Naturally for any of this to work you have to know already the site of the Red Sea crossing to look for the chariots in the first place. Sadly the wheel examined by Hassan is nowhere to be found - an astounding occurrence for such a valuable artifact - so an independent assessment is not possible. Further searches on Hassan himself also seem to be a dead end and the few sites that mention him merely parrot the little information supplied by the Wyatt site. So where does that leave things? Absolutely nowhere regarding anything to do with history or archaeology - but quite a lot regarding gullibility and wishful thinking. (For information on real archaeology and a skeptical look at pseudoarchaeology the place to go is Doug's Archaeology Site.)


"Real" UFO - it is August 1956 and the Cold War is in full swing. Over the skies of eastern England radar picks up various objects, one estimated as travelling at 4000 mph, and lights are seen in the sky - two fighter aircraft are scramble to intercept and the pair of them play tag with something in the night skies.......one pilot is unable to shake whatever is on his tail - a something that showed on the ground radar as well. Eventually both planes return, one low on fuel and one with engine trouble. This incident is held up as a convincing encounter with a true Unidentified Flying Object seen as lights and as Unidentified Radar Echoes (URE). Now US Air Force intelligence radar logs have been released confirming the radar contacts. Various explanations have been offered for what happened that night and perhaps a combination of these is the real answer. There was unusual meteorite activity that night, the radar was nowhere near as sophisticated as today's and could throw up false "bogeys" and bright stars may have played a part in some sightings. The atmosphere of the time was full of paranoia about the USSR's intentions and technology - the airbase involved in the incident hosted spyplanes and nuclear weapons and so would seem an obvious target for enemy surveillance. Young pilots, honed by intensive training, finally had a chance to show what they could do and their enthusiasm could well have played its part as well. The truth will never be known and this case, unlike most others, does have radar-visual evidence enough for believers to claim "they were breaches of our airspace by some extraordinary flying machines..." For 80 the jury will always be out on this one........ for once it is a genuine Unidentified Flying Object(s).     (For more on UFOs take a look at The Klass Files)


WWJD - Try this exercise some time - try to project your consciousness back in time a couple thousand years and picture yourself, a man, of a fairly low social class, living in the eastern Mediterranean. Try to understand his world view - if you are to do this with even a modicum of authenticity it is going to take some serious study and a lot of work. In fact having done so to any degree of accuracy you are doubtless worth at least a doctorate or two in various fields of study - quite an achievement.
Here's another one to try - one that is impossible - at least to 80's limited intellect. Imagine that you have infinite power - in fact all there is was made by you. Nothing escapes your attention - the explosion of a supernova, the fall of a sparrow, the eternal dance of sub-atomic particles - it is all yours to see and understand.
This last one is the hardest though. Imagine that you live in the first decade of the 21st century. Now take the first two exercises and combine them so that can picture an amalgam of that person from history and the incredible science fictional observer and maker of all. Can you visualize in any way at all what this chimera would be like? No? Then it is probably best you don't wear one of these - you would never make any decisions.

(....and whatever you do steer clear of these wicked sites WWJD and WWJD)


Raging Bull - people tend to think of lawyers (when they think kindly of them) as having sharp brains and the ability to argue a case from the evidence available. The truth is of course lawyers are as fallible as the rest of us and if a belief is important enough they will ignore and attempt to belittle any evidence to the contrary. In the case of Victor Zammit he pursues the defence of his beliefs with a zeal that is almost evangelical. Rather than present evidence for those beliefs he resorts to a tactic that may work at times in a courtroom, with a jury to persuade with the skill of your rhetoric, but often has the opposite effect when seen in print. This is the ad hominem attack - in this case aimed mainly at James Randi but also at many others of a skeptical frame of mind who require evidence for extraordinary claims. Zammit, formerly a lawyer of the Supreme Court of New South Wales, and the High Court of Australia, as he prominently announces on his web page, is also a man in very great fear - and it is this fear that drives what is a bitter diatribe against those he terms "close minded skeptics".  He is scared to death of....death - and seems ready to accept even tawdry drivel such as the antics of TV entertainer John Edward, parasite of the bereaved, as evidence for life after death. One does not expect a lawyer to have a good grasp of the mathematics of probability but there are places where it is possible to learn something about it. Zammit's reference to the stupendous odds against Edward's obtaining his "results" by chance also shows that he is completely unaware or unwilling to acknowledge that the trashy TV show he is so keen on is thoroughly edited before transmission to show successful readings - much more useful would be an analysis that included the failures from the cutting room floor - and this is without taking into account the work of Edward's assistants in engaging with the audience before the show - trawling for information. The fact that these obvious tricks pass Zammit by in his zeal to believe in the afterlife says much about the quality of the other items he offers as evidence. A look through his other pages and links show again and again a man so desperate to believe that there is life after death that his tone becomes shrill and tiresome. There are no new insights available here but just a glimpse into the mind of someone apparently so obsessed with the thought of his own personal demise that retreads of tired old arguments such as the "experimenter effect" and personal attacks are considered useful for advancing his case, although the result is just the reverse. 80 cannot but recall the lines by Dylan Thomas -

Do not go gentle into that good night,
Old age should burn and rave at close of day;
Rage, rage against the dying of the light.

Not that it will make any difference...............


All or None - there is a tendency that has been around for for as long as the scriptures have existed for believers to cherry pick the parts that they are comfortable with and ignore the rest. The Anglican Church, presided over by the Archbishop of Canterbury, has adherents all over the world. So it is not too surprising that there has been much dispute about the appointment of an openly gay man as a bishop. What seems reasonable to a liberal UK cleric is anathema to one, say, from Nigeria. Also the very vocal evangelical element were up in arms over the conflict with their more fundamentalist stance. This reflects cultural and social differences between members of the Anglican Church as well as the religious ones. (The church was set up by Henry VIII for rather more practical purposes than religious fervor.) Leviticus in the Old Testament is a source for many rules including the prohibition of male homosexual acts. Leviticus18:22 "Thou shalt not lie with mankind, as with womankind: it is abomination." seems to make that quite clear. What else is prohibited and punishable in Leviticus? 19:10 "...neither shall a garment mingled of linen and woollen come upon thee" so you had better check your wardrobe. 20:9 "For every one that curseth his father or his mother shall be surely put to death" That is a somewhat final way to end a family row. 21:17 to 21:20 "Whosoever he be of thy seed in their generations that hath any blemish, let him not approach to offer the bread of his God. For whatsoever man he be that hath a blemish, he shall not approach: a blind man, or a lame, or he that hath a flat nose, or any thing superfluous, Or a man that is brokenfooted, or brokenhanded, Or crookbackt, or a dwarf, or that hath a blemish in his eye, or be scurvy, or scabbed, or hath his stones broken." So if  you are disabled in some way you are not welcome at God's altar - He doesn't want your worship. There is much, much more as once God gets going it must be pretty difficult to get him to stop 'til he is good and ready but you get the picture. To accept the prohibition on gays you must also accept a load of other laws which may have been fine for a small Iron Age tribe surrounded by enemies but should have no place in a modern culture. (Elsewhere in the bible not even the sin of Sodom is what most people think.) The cherrypicking continues for the New Testament. Fundamentalists in particular bang on about adhering to every word because it is the word of God. It is funny but 80 has not seen any of these zealots adhering, for instance, to Jesus' advice to the young man in Matthew 19:21 " If thou wilt be perfect, go and sell that thou hast, and give to the poor, and thou shalt have treasure in heaven: and come and follow me." (Treasure in heaven is not as good as the SUV out front.) It is not as though there is not enough incentive for the believer, Matthew 19:29 "every one that hath forsaken houses, or brethren, or sisters, or father, or mother, or wife, or children, or lands, for my name's sake, shall receive an hundredfold, and shall inherit everlasting life." Remember to ask about this and the other items above next time a bible basher appears at your door to save your soul - and watch them wriggle. (If you don't have the time, use the Number 80 Plan B - smile sweetly as you close the door saying, "No, thank you, I am not superstitious.")


Taking the Time - a common complaint from those with a skeptical frame of mind when confronted with the latest "cult archaeology" and "fringe history" blockbuster is how can these people turn out reams of this stuff and not be shot down in flames. Most of it is rarely refuted outside the bounds of websites and journals that are mainly read by skeptics in the first place. Surely a good tactic would be to take action right at the point of sale - and this is what Dr Mark Newbrook has done. Here you will find a string of his reviews of a range of books with subject matter ranging from Vedic culture, the origins of language to pre-Columban America. Many of the claims made in these books hinge in some way on the language of ancient peoples and their supposed derivation and diffusion. Other critics may address other claims but Newbrook, of Monash University in Melbourne, Australia specializes in "dialectology, historical linguistics, the structure of English and 'skeptical linguistics' (the application of skeptical methods to 'fringe' and other dubious ideas about language)." It is this skeptical linguistics that help make his reviews fascinating to read. It is a truism that it is much harder work to refute in detail the wild claims made by the cult archaeologists than it is to make the claims in the first place. It is fortunate that Newbrook takes the time and effort to do so - and particularly good that his reviews appear on the very pages that sell these books. It is not just cult archaeologists who seem almost too much trouble to take to task - many types of pseudoscience and irrational belief gain currency because the professionals are unwilling to spend time on what to them appears absurd. To others, without the benefit of time to study even the most ridiculous ideas may sound plausible. If all you hear is the clamor of the hawkers of such things and effectively silence from academia the tendency is to think that these claims are left to stand because they are true rather than that they are too ridiculous to challenge. Take the claims made for Reverse Speech (RS), the brainchild of one David John Oates. Below is a description from the website of Reverse Speech Technologies -

THE THEORY OF REVERSE SPEECH AND SPEECH COMPLEMENTARITY.
(1) Human speech has two disctinctive yet complementary functions and modes. The Overt mode is spoken forwards and is primarily under conscious control. The Covert mode is spoken backward and is not under conscious control. The backward mode of speech occurs simultaneously with the forward mode and is a reversal of the forward speech sounds.

(2) These two modes of speech, forward and backward, are dependent upon each other and form an integral part of human communication. One mode cannot be fully understood without the other mode. In the dynamics of interpersonal communication, both modes of speech combined communicate the total psyche of the person, conscious as well as unconscious.

(3) Covert speech develops before overt speech. Children speak backwards before they do forwards. Then, as forward speech commences, the two modes of speech gradually combine into one, forming an overall bi-level communication process.

Now this idea may sound so daft as to be not worth examining but it is tailor-made for Newbrook's skeptical linguistics. Here is a summarized version of Newbrook's and Jane Curtain's detailed examination and refutation of Oates' ideas. The one thing upon which Reverse Speech must be judged is linguistics as it purports to be theory of language. As Newbrook and Curtain state -

Given that RS is supposed to be basically a linguistic phenomenon, one might hope that - whatever his shortcomings in other fields - Oates would prove to be well informed about linguistics. However, this is not the case. We have already seen that many of his claims about RS are implausible on linguistic grounds, and in fact it does not appear that he has read more than superficially in the linguistic literature. Other obvious errors (etc.) made by Oates involve: very superficial and inaccurate treatments of matters of intonation, various other errors involving the description and analysis of pronunciation, a naively folk-linguistic approach (at least terminologically) to the issue of grammaticality (accompanied by a neglect of some grammatical issues which would be of great interest if RS were real), acceptance of folklinguistic errors on the origins of languages, a rather cavalier attitude to items in foreign languages, a naive linking of RS with palindromes (‘reverse’ phenomena involving written language), the apparent (ludicrously wrong) suggestion that the central aspects of FS are completely consciously controlled (in contrast with RS, which is unconsciously generated), etc.

Newbrook and Curtain are to be thanked for bringing their expertise to bear on RS. The all too common attitude from academia is noted in this page about RS "Elsewhere in his site Mr Oates says he can't understand why, when he's taken all this to universities and scientists, they refuse to even look at his evidence. It's because they're not naive, Mr Oates. It's the same reason they don't buy a ten dollar Rolex from a guy at a card table set up on Times Square. They don't squander their time going to get a Rolex expert to examine the cheap, tacky little watch and confirm that it's a fake. They simply walk past the card table. And scientists don't squander precious research time on people who say that their backward tape recordings "lay the human soul bare and open up a doorway to the infinite". " Happily some people do take the time - silence only helps these clowns. (It is to be noted that Oates' RS is more a marketing opportunity than anything else - just take a look at the courses and Reversing Machines he peddles. Still it is reassuring as we are told the sales are not for profit but to fund study of RS.) For more on Oates' absurdities from a psychological point of view look here at this piece from Skeptical Inquirer "The Demon-Haunted Sentence - A Skeptical Analysis of Reverse Speech" which also references Newbrook and Curtain.


Miscellany - a short list of web pages ranging from the sublime to the ridiculous with the odd remark. First up is The Skeptical Believer, source of the "ten dollar Rolex" quote above, from John Shirley in which he "variously rants about whatever enters his mind". Subjects range from Is There a God? to Smirking Post-Modern Snobbery to Pitfalls of Ufology (which mentions the Cold War UFO sighting above) and more - well worth a look.

There are many sites out there on the web that proudly show "inexplicable" photos of orbs, rods, ghosts whatever. If you ever felt you were missing out here is a page about how to make your own Energy Creature pictures. Fun stuff and at least as convincing as anything else 80 has seen.

Enter the world of Astrocartography - the bastard child of astrology and cartography dreamed up by Robert Couteau who poses this question "If we view the birth chart or horoscope as a symbolic portrait of the soul the next logical question might be: What is the focal point or key to the horoscope?" What indeed, although to be truthful there is nothing logical in this whole farrago. For further bafflement look at the loving drawn and meaningless charts of various celebrities such as Marlon Brando, The Dalai-Lama, Benito Mussolini and Nikola Tesla. Couteau must at least be congratulated on managing to come up with a new twist to the tired old hogwash that is astrology - and a new product to sell - Astro-maps.

If you have ever had an email chain letter and felt too scared to delete it but also too scared to pass it on (be very scared if you clog up 80's inbox with such drivel) - now the answer is at hand. Chain Letters Anonymous, sponsored by Skeptical Inquirer, will take the load off your mind and they even accept old fashioned snail mail versions too. For more info on Chain Letters take a look here (this site could do with an update.)

Lots of good stuff is to be had at Donald Simanek's Pages too numerous to mention. Science, pseudoscience, humor and absolute gems such as Richard Feynmann's classic 1974 piece Cargo Cult Science.

Finally, and appropriately, here is Armageddon Online "This site is about the possibility of Armageddon - Extinction Level Events. From super volcanoes and mega tsunamis to Planet X and meteor impacts, these are the most destructive forces threatening our planet. Everything you never wanted to know..." and in some cases more than you ever wanted to know. A well laid out site with masses of material - and much better than first impressions would suggest.


Quotes

 "I'm an atheist and that's it. I believe there's nothing we can know except that we should be kind to each other and do what we can for other people." Katherine Hepburn

"You are not superior just because you see the world in an odious light." Vicomte de Chateaubriand

"The most certain test by which we judge whether a country is really free is the amount of security enjoyed by minorities." Lord Acton

"The great tragedy of Science -- the slaying of a beautiful hypothesis by an ugly fact." Thomas H. Huxley

"We must respect the other fellow's religion, but only in the sense that we respect his theory that his wife is beautiful and his children smart" H L Mencken


 



 

          

Number 80 Home Page   80's Recommended Reading

 Links from Number 80


 

©Copyright 2003 Eighty  Ross W Sargent  All rights reserved